本帖最后由 freesky521 于 2013-6-2 02:26 编辑
Elliott Waves and Fibonacci英语不好的朋友,可以用谷歌翻译。。
Fibonacci numbers play an huge role in Elliott Wave trading.
Elliott didn’t discover the Fibonacci relationships himself, but this was brought to author's attention by Charles J. Collins who had published Elliott's "The Wave Principle" and helped introduce Elliott's theory to Wall Street.
Using known Fibonacci ratios (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 161.8% and so on) traders can project the length of waves, the depth of corrections, move extensions etc.
Wave 1
The first impulsive wave, which Elliott traders don't use for trading, but rather for analysis of the wave 2.
Wave 2
Wave 2 should not retrace below the beginning of wave 1.
Normally the retracement is from 50% to 61.8% of Wave 1. At times it can go below the 61.8% due to the fact that wave 2 retracement is quite aggressive since many traders don't
acknowledge the change in the main trend yet.
The minimum retracement to expect is 38.2%.
Wave 3
Wave 3 is never be the shortest among waves 1, 3 and 5.
At the very least it should be equal to wave 1 in length.
Wave 3 as the longest wave normally tend to be 161.8% of
wave 1.
If goes beyond 161% - the next target is 261.8%, and rarely extended target - 425% of wave 1.
Wave 4
Wave 4 is one of the shallowest waves: at this stage many traders take profits,
while there are few others who are willing to trade counter-trend.
It often retraces slowly for an extended period of time and reach normally only 38.2% of wave 3.
It rarely retraces to 50% of wave 3.
Wave 5
Wave 5 should move at least 61.8% of the length of wave 1.
If wave 3 is greater than 161.8% of wave 1 in length, the targets for wave 5 will be 100% of Wave 1,
or 161.8% of wave 1, rarely 261.8% of wave 1.
If wave 3 is less than 161.8% of wave 1 in length, wave 5 will often be extended with targets of:
61.8% of wave 1 + wave 3
100% of wave 1 + wave 3
or 161.8% of wave 1 + wave 3作者: 流星划过夜空 时间: 2018-1-11 23:21
维克多.斯波朗迪123法则交易系统
辨别趋势、追随趋势,是每一个技术分析人士的追求,维克多.斯波朗迪依据道氏理论,将趋势识别这项复杂艰巨的任务,简化为123法则。
⒈首先趋势线被突破;
⒉上升趋势不再创新高,或下降趋势不再创新低(即只发生试探前期高低点行为);
⒊下降趋势中,价格向上突破前期反弹高点,或上升趋势中,价格向下穿越先前的短期回档低点。
尽管123法则简单有效,但其入场点较晚,通常已经错失一段相当大的行情,因而维克多进一步提出了2B法则,其实质是针对假突破现象进行观察。
2B基本理念:如果在下降趋势中,价格已经创新低而未能持续下跌,而且重新升逾前期低点,则趋势可能反转。
遵循法则:
1.选择流动性高的市场.
2.避开对消息面敏感的市场
3.只有把止损设置在压力或支撑位置才操作.作者: 锦庆 时间: 2018-1-11 23:39
学习了。。。。。。。 作者: 带翅膀黄金 时间: 2018-1-11 23:48
谢谢分享作者: vic2222200388 时间: 2018-1-12 00:10